UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
23%
Taleb
77%
Jingliang
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jingliang
Jingliang is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jingliang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Jingliang throws more volume but Taleb connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Taleb's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jingliang has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taleb
Jingliang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taleb
Jingliang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
50.8
43.9
Performance Avg
53.1
34
Quality of Victory
48
52
Momentum Score
69
Taleb
Jingliang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
7
0
Body
0
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Taleb
Jingliang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taleb
Jingliang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Taleb
Jingliang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Taleb
Jingliang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
73%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taleb
Jingliang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
TalebJingliang
Strike Zones
Taleb
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedJingliang
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taleb targets the head (84% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Jingliang targets the head (58% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taleb
RND
Jingliang
0/0R00/0
Taleb · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Jingliang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Taleb · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Jingliang · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01