The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Flyweight
VS
20%
Benavidez
80%
Cejudo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
Joseph Benavidez
28 – 8
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Henry
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
16 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cejudo

Cejudo is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Cejudo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cejudo has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Benavidez
Cejudo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
64"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Cejudo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
64.7
51.4
Performance Avg
57.5
38
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
97
Benavidez
Cejudo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
10
7
Body
14
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance24
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Benavidez
Cejudo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Cejudo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Benavidez
Cejudo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
97
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Benavidez
Cejudo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
40%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Benavidez
Cejudo
Striking4.8 / 5.3Volume6.2 / 6.0Grappling2.0 / 1.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Benavidez
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Benavidez
Attacking
18HEAD7BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD14BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Cejudo
Attacking
10HEAD14BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD7BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Cejudo targets the body (54% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Benavidez
RND
Cejudo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Benavidez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.1W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.0W5.5L6.3W4.5W5.2W3.2L2.6L5.5L2011-032013-092016-022020-022021-03
WinLossTrend

Cejudo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.1W6.5L6.8L6.1L7.0L2014-122016-042018-082023-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Benavidez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

News & Media

Joseph Benavidez · Henry Cejudo
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