METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
93%
Makdessi
7%
Baghdad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mehdi Baghdad · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Makdessi is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makdessi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiBaghdad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Baghdad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
68"
Reach
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Baghdad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
2.4
42.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Makdessi
Baghdad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.9
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
11
Body
2
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
28Distance19
3Clinch3
2Ground3
Makdessi
Baghdad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Baghdad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Makdessi
Baghdad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Makdessi
Baghdad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Baghdad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MakdessiBaghdad
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedBaghdad
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (52% of attacks) — Baghdad absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Baghdad targets the head (68% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Baghdad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Baghdad · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Sub · R1
Chris WadeSubmission
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