UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2005
Heavyweight
VS
87%
Arsdale
13%
Marsh
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mv
Mike van Arsdale
8 – 5
6'2"Switch60 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JM
John Marsh
8 – 7
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arsdale

Arsdale is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Arsdale has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Striking split: Arsdale throws more volume but Marsh connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Arsdale
Marsh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
60
Age
+55
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Arsdale
Marsh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
2.7
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Arsdale
Marsh
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
5
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch5
14Ground3
Arsdale
Marsh
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arsdale
Marsh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/15 fights
Arsdale
Marsh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arsdale
Marsh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arsdale
Marsh
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Arsdale
Strike Zones
Marsh
Arsdale
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Marsh
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arsdale targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marsh absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Marsh targets the body (50% of attacks) — Arsdale absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arsdale
RND
Marsh
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Arsdale · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W4.5W4.0L1.5L1998-052005-042005-082006-02
WinLossTrend

Arsdale · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Renato SobralRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · Sub · R3
Randy CoutureRating 4
Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
John MarshRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe PardoRating 5
Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

Marsh · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04

News & Media

Mike van Arsdale · John Marsh
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