UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
90%
Knight
10%
Cherant
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Knight
Knight is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Knight has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Striking split: Cherant throws more volume but Knight connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cherant has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Knight
Cherant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Knight
Cherant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
2.8
39.1
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Knight
Cherant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
10
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance15
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Knight
Cherant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Knight
Cherant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Knight
Cherant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Knight
Cherant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Knight
Cherant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KnightCherant
Strike Zones
Knight
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCherant
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Knight targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Cherant absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Cherant targets the body (67% of attacks) — Knight absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Knight
RND
Cherant
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Knight · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cherant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Knight · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Devin ClarkRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Maxim GrishinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Fabio CherantRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Cherant · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
William KnightRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
L · Sub · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03