UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Flyweight
VS
53%
Benavidez
47%
Pettis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Benavidez
This is a genuine toss-up — Benavidez at 53% vs Pettis at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Benavidez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Pettis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pettis has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Benavidez
Pettis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
+69"
41
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Pettis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
14.2
51.4
Performance Avg
40.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
55
Benavidez
Pettis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
24
6
Body
3
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance25
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Benavidez
Pettis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Pettis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Benavidez
Pettis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Benavidez
Pettis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Pettis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
BenavidezPettis
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedPettis
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Pettis targets the head (89% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Pettis
0/0R00/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pettis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12