UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Middleweight
VS
57%
Sanchez
43%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sanchez
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 57% vs Perez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
17.1
48.2
Performance Avg
42.5
47
Quality of Victory
52
43
Momentum Score
39
Sanchez
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
12
14
Body
11
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance15
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Sanchez
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Sanchez
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
SanchezPerez
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedPerez
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (56% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (52% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08