UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
60%
McKenna
40%
Reed
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McKenna
McKenna holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Reed has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reed has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reed has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McKenna
Reed
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
58"
Reach
+63"
26+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McKenna
Reed
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
30.3
39.9
Performance Avg
32.8
33
Quality of Victory
25
83
Momentum Score
45
McKenna
Reed
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.3
36%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
11
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance12
3Clinch1
4Ground2
McKenna
Reed
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McKenna
Reed
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
10
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
McKenna
Reed
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
McKenna
Reed
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKenna
Reed
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
McKennaReed
Strike Zones
McKenna
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedReed
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKenna targets the head (94% of attacks) — Reed absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Reed targets the head (73% of attacks) — McKenna absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKenna
RND
Reed
0/0R00/0
McKenna · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Reed · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
McKenna · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 6.1Decision
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Reed · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Denise GomesRating 4KO/TKO
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