METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Featherweight
VS
76%
Poirier
24%
Brandao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:54
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:54
def. Diego Brandao · UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Poirier is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brandao has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierBrandao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Brandao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
64"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Brandao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
19.9
58.2
Performance Avg
53.4
50
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
79
Poirier
Brandao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
10
7
Body
4
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance14
15Clinch1
6Ground1
Poirier
Brandao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Brandao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Poirier
Brandao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Poirier
Brandao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
10
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Brandao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
PoirierBrandao
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBrandao
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (61% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Brandao targets the head (63% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Brandao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Poirier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Brandao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Brandao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12