UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Featherweight
VS
76%
Poirier
24%
Brandao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:54
Dustin
Dustin Poirier
"The Diamond"
30 – 10
5'9"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 61
DB
Diego Brandao
"DB"
22 – 11
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'7"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Poirier

Poirier is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brandao has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Poirier
Brandao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
64"
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Brandao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
19.9
58.2
Performance Avg
53.4
50
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
79
Poirier
Brandao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
10
7
Body
4
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance14
15Clinch1
6Ground1
Poirier
Brandao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Brandao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Poirier
Brandao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Poirier
Brandao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
10
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Poirier
Brandao
Striking6.0 / 2.9Volume4.0 / 3.9Grappling2.2 / 3.5Wrestling1.6 / 2.4Submission1.8 / 3.3Pressure6.6 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Poirier
Strike Zones
Brandao
Poirier
Attacking
27HEAD7BODY10LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Brandao
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD7BODY10LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (61% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Brandao targets the head (63% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Poirier
RND
Brandao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Poirier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W6.1W3.9L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.2W3.5L6.0W5.0W4.5W5.7W1.6L4.9W5.2W6.9W5.1W5.6W2.8L5.4W7.1W6.0W4.2L6.3W3.7L6.9W6.0L6.6L2011-012013-122017-022021-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Brandao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.4W2.8L3.5L4.0W5.0W5.4L2011-122013-042014-072016-01
WinLossTrend

Poirier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Brandao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12

News & Media

Dustin Poirier · Diego Brandao
← Back to fights