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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 109: Relentless
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2010
Welterweight
VS
37%
Thiago
63%
Swick
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:54
PT
Paulo Thiago
189
5'11"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MS
Mike Swick
"Quick"
156
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 23
★ Official Result
Paulo ThiagowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:54
def. Mike Swick · UFC 109: Relentless

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
Actual result
Thiago wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Swick holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Thiago has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Swick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Swick has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ThiagoSwick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Thiago
Swick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
45+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thiago
Swick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
22.6
37.5
Performance Avg
55.0
37
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
100
Thiago
Swick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
0.9
35%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Thiago
Swick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thiago
Swick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Thiago
Swick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Thiago
Swick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thiago
Swick
Striking2.8 / 6.3Volume5.6 / 3.7Grappling3.0 / 2.3Wrestling2.1 / 1.6Submission2.0 / 2.0Pressure4.0 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Thiago
Strike Zones
Swick
Thiago
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Swick
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thiago targets the head (50% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Swick targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Thiago
RND
Swick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Thiago · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.5L2009-022010-062012-112014-09
WinLossTrend

Swick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W3.1L5.5L2005-042006-092008-122012-082015-07
WinLossTrend

Thiago · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11

Swick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

News & Media

Paulo Thiago · Mike Swick
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