UFC 109: Relentless
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2010
Welterweight
VS
37%
Thiago
63%
Swick
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swick
Swick holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Thiago has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Swick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thiago's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swick has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Thiago
Swick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
45+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thiago
Swick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
22.6
37.5
Performance Avg
55.0
37
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
100
Thiago
Swick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.9
35%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Thiago
Swick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thiago
Swick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Thiago
Swick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Thiago
Swick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thiago
Swick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
ThiagoSwick
Strike Zones
Thiago
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSwick
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thiago targets the head (50% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Swick targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thiago
RND
Swick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11