METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Featherweight
VS
44%
Grad
56%
Riley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:30
★ Official Result
Luke RileywinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:30
def. Bogdan Grad · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Riley
→
Actual result
Riley wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Grad at 44% vs Riley at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GradRiley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grad
Riley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grad
Riley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
74.7
51.4
Performance Avg
68.0
52
Quality of Victory
47
65
Momentum Score
100
Grad
Riley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
1.0
Style: Volume
4.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Grad
Riley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grad
Riley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Grad
Riley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Grad
Riley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grad
Riley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
GradRiley
Strike Zones
Grad
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedRiley
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grad targets the body (100% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Riley targets the head (91% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grad
RND
Riley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grad · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Dennis BuzukjaSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Luke RileyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovDecision
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W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderKO/TKO
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Riley · Last 3
W · KO · R1
Kai Kamaka IIIKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael Aswell Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Bogdan GradKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11