UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Featherweight
VS
44%
Grad
56%
Riley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:30
Bogdan
Bogdan Grad
"The Unleashed"
15 – 4
5'8"70" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 55
Luke
Luke Riley
13 – 0
Volume Striker2-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Riley

This is a genuine toss-up — Grad at 44% vs Riley at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Grad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Grad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Grad
Riley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grad
Riley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
70.7
46.3
Performance Avg
64.0
55
Quality of Victory
40
52
Momentum Score
100
Grad
Riley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
65%
Strike Accuracy
64%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Grad
Riley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grad
Riley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Grad
Riley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Grad
Riley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grad
Riley
Striking10.0 / 7.0Volume0.7 / 6.0Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Grad
Strike Zones
Riley
Grad
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Riley
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grad targets the body (100% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Riley targets the head (91% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grad
RND
Riley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Grad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W6.7L4.5L2025-022025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Riley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0106.2W5.6W2025-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Grad · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Luke RileyRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

Riley · Last 3

Upcoming
Kai Kamaka III
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael Aswell Jr.Rating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Bogdan GradRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

News & Media

Bogdan Grad · Luke Riley
← Back to fights