UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Wilson
51%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:11
Hd
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Wilson at 49% vs Silva at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Wilson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wilson
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Wilson
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
18.6
46.0
Performance Avg
44.7
60
Quality of Victory
52
36
Momentum Score
65
Wilson
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.2
57%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
43
1
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance10
1Clinch8
6Ground31
Wilson
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wilson
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Wilson
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Wilson
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wilson
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
WilsonSilva
Strike Zones
Wilson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedSilva
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wilson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (88% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wilson
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Wilson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Oskar PiechotaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R2
Henrique da SilvaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gokhan SakiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Sub · R2
Joachim ChristensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10