UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands
East Rutherford, USA
29 Jun 2001
Lightweight
VS
54%
Penn
46%
Thomas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Penn
This is a genuine toss-up — Penn at 54% vs Thomas at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Penn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thomas has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Penn
Thomas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
47+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penn
Thomas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
19.2
56.9
Performance Avg
43.1
63
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
100
Penn
Thomas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
4Clinch0
2Ground1
Penn
Thomas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penn
Thomas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Penn
Thomas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Penn
Thomas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
40%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Thomas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
PennThomas
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedThomas
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (50% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Thomas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Thomas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Thomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensRating 5.8Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11