UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Flyweight
VS
93%
Rodriguez
7%
Bondar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
RR
Ronaldo Rodriguez
"Lazy Boy"
17 – 3
5'6"65" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Denys
Denys Bondar
"Psycho"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bondar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rodriguez
Bondar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
+69"
27+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Bondar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.7
4.6
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
83
Momentum Score
0
Rodriguez
Bondar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
1
Body
1
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch1
13Ground0
Rodriguez
Bondar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.8
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Bondar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Rodriguez
Bondar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Rodriguez
Bondar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Bondar
Striking1.3 / 0.0Volume5.3 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Bondar
Rodriguez
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY5LEGS10 absorbed
Bondar
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY5LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (82% of attacks) — Bondar absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Bondar targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Bondar
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W5.5L2024-022024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Bondar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.5L3.9L2022-022023-062024-02
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Ode OsbourneRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R2
Denys BondarRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Bondar · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 3.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Carlos HernandezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

News & Media

Ronaldo Rodriguez · Denys Bondar
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