METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Middleweight
VS
45%
Vettori
55%
Dolidze
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Roman
Roman Dolidze
15 – 5
Striker3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Marvin VettoriwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roman Dolidze · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dolidze
→
Actual result
Vettori wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Vettori at 45% vs Dolidze at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dolidze has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Dolidze has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VettoriDolidze
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vettori
Dolidze
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vettori
Dolidze
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
60.6
40.0
Performance Avg
50.3
31
Quality of Victory
44
84
Momentum Score
100
Vettori
Dolidze
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
5.7
7.3
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
20
3
Body
5
12
Leg
1
RangeRange
37Distance22
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Vettori
Dolidze
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Dolidze
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Vettori
Dolidze
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Vettori
Dolidze
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
56%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vettori
Dolidze
Striking1.1 / 6.8Volume7.3 / 4.8Grappling3.6 / 1.1Wrestling2.5 / 0.8Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Vettori
Strike Zones
Dolidze
Vettori
Attacking
25HEAD3BODY12LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Dolidze
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY12LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vettori targets the head (63% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Dolidze targets the head (77% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vettori
RND
Dolidze
0/0R00/0

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Brunno Ferreira
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan Allen
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman Dolidze
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared Cannonier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Dolidze · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Reinier de Ridder
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy Duncan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony Hernandez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin Vettori
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin Holland
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

News & Media

Marvin Vettori · Roman Dolidze
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