UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Viana
55%
Ricci
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ricci
This is a genuine toss-up — Viana at 45% vs Ricci at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Viana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Ricci throws more volume but Viana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Viana's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Viana
Ricci
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
61"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Viana
Ricci
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.1
48.5
46.6
Performance Avg
48.1
56
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
53
Viana
Ricci
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground6
Viana
Ricci
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
4.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Viana
Ricci
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Viana
Ricci
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Viana
Ricci
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Viana
Ricci
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
6.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
4.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
VianaRicci
Strike Zones
Viana
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRicci
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Viana targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Ricci targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Viana
RND
Ricci
0/0R00/0
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ricci · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Viana · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alice ArdeleanRating 3.5Submission
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