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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Lightweight
VS
94%
Tuck
6%
Lindsey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:47
JT
Jon Tuck
"Super Saiyan"
105
5'11"73" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JL
Jake Lindsey
"The Librarian"
127
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsSwitch5'11"
CFR 1
★ Official Result
Jon TuckwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:47
def. Jake Lindsey · UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuck
Actual result
Tuck wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Tuck is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tuck has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Risk flags

Lindsey has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TuckLindsey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Tuck
Lindsey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Tuck
Lindsey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
1.2
45.2
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Tuck
Lindsey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.9
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Tuck
Lindsey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuck
Lindsey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Tuck
Lindsey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Tuck
Lindsey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuck
Lindsey
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tuck
Strike Zones
Lindsey
Tuck
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Lindsey
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuck targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lindsey absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuck
RND
Lindsey
0/0R00/0

Tuck · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Drew Dober
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Sub · R1
Takanori Gomi
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Damien Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh Emmett
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tae Hyun Bang
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05

Lindsey · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Joe Duffy
KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · KO · R3
Jon Tuck
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06

News & Media

Jon Tuck · Jake Lindsey
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