UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Lightweight
VS
94%
Tuck
6%
Lindsey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tuck
Tuck is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuck has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Striking split: Tuck throws more volume but Lindsey connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lindsey has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tuck
Lindsey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Tuck
Lindsey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
1.2
45.2
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Tuck
Lindsey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Tuck
Lindsey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuck
Lindsey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Tuck
Lindsey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Tuck
Lindsey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuck
Lindsey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TuckLindsey
Strike Zones
Tuck
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLindsey
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuck targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lindsey absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuck
RND
Lindsey
0/0R00/0
Tuck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Lindsey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Tuck · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Drew DoberRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Sub · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tae Hyun BangRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
Lindsey · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Joe DuffyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · KO · R3
Jon TuckRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06