UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
39%
Means
61%
Muhammad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

Muhammad holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Means has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Means has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Means
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
56.8
45.2
Performance Avg
48.5
41
Quality of Victory
31
40
Momentum Score
100
Means
Muhammad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
32
13
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
36Distance35
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Muhammad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Means
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Means
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
20%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Muhammad
Striking5.0 / 2.8Volume4.8 / 7.9Grappling2.2 / 2.5Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.7Pressure5.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Means
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Means
Attacking
21HEAD13BODY3LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD2BODY1LEGS35 absorbed
Muhammad
Attacking
32HEAD2BODY1LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD13BODY3LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (57% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (91% of attacks) — Means absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0

Means · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L6.1L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W1.9L5.2W5.2W2.8L4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.2L5.0W3.7L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.4L6.1L2.8L5.5W3.3L1.7L2012-022015-042018-112022-102024-10
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Means · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Tim Means · Belal Muhammad
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