UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Featherweight
VS
50%
Backstrom
50%
Wilkinson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:19
NB
Niklas Backstrom
11 – 3
6'1"Orthodox36 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
MW
Mike Wilkinson
"The Warrior"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Backstrom

This is a genuine toss-up — Backstrom at 50% vs Wilkinson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Backstrom has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Wilkinson throws more volume but Backstrom connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Backstrom
Wilkinson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
Reach
66"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Backstrom
Wilkinson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
17.7
45.7
Performance Avg
45.5
54
Quality of Victory
43
35
Momentum Score
55
Backstrom
Wilkinson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground3
Backstrom
Wilkinson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Backstrom
Wilkinson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Backstrom
Wilkinson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Backstrom
Wilkinson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Backstrom
Wilkinson
Striking0.7 / 6.0Volume0.7 / 5.0Grappling8.0 / 1.2Wrestling5.6 / 0.8Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Backstrom
Strike Zones
Wilkinson
Backstrom
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Wilkinson
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Backstrom targets the head (57% of attacks) — Wilkinson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Wilkinson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Backstrom absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Backstrom
RND
Wilkinson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Backstrom · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W1.5L5.5L2014-052014-102015-06
WinLossTrend

Wilkinson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W1.5L5.0W5.6L2012-122013-062014-102016-02
WinLossTrend

Backstrom · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Mike WilkinsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Tom NiinimakiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05

Wilkinson · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · KO · R1
Niklas BackstromRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Sub · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Brendan LoughnaneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12

News & Media

Niklas Backstrom · Mike Wilkinson
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