UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
48%
Proctor
52%
Mustafaev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:54
JP
Joe Proctor
11 – 5
5'10"72" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
MM
Magomed Mustafaev
"The Sniper"
14 – 4
Striker37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mustafaev

This is a genuine toss-up — Proctor at 48% vs Mustafaev at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Proctor throws more volume but Mustafaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Proctor's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Proctor
Mustafaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Proctor
Mustafaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
20.6
47.8
Performance Avg
53.5
46
Quality of Victory
49
79
Momentum Score
65
Proctor
Mustafaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
38%
Strike Accuracy
59%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
13
2
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance9
1Clinch4
0Ground5
Proctor
Mustafaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Proctor
Mustafaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Proctor
Mustafaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R2
Proctor
Mustafaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Proctor
Mustafaev
Striking6.0 / 7.9Volume3.0 / 1.2Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Proctor
Strike Zones
Mustafaev
Proctor
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Mustafaev
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Proctor targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Mustafaev absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Mustafaev targets the head (72% of attacks) — Proctor absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Proctor
RND
Mustafaev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Proctor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W1.5L5.5W1.5L1.9L2012-062014-022014-122015-122017-04
WinLossTrend

Mustafaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.2W5.0W2.8L6.0W5.5L2015-062015-122016-112019-042020-02
WinLossTrend

Proctor · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Magomed MustafaevRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
W · Sub · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R1
Yancy MedeirosRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · KO · R2
Justin SalasRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07

Mustafaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael FizievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Kevin LeeRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Joe ProctorRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
W · R2
Piotr HallmannRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

News & Media

Joe Proctor · Magomed Mustafaev
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