METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Welterweight
VS
41%
Page
59%
Patterson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael PagewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Patterson · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Patterson
→
Actual result
Page wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Page at 41% vs Patterson at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Patterson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PagePatterson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Page
Patterson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
39
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Page
Patterson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
72.6
48.3
Performance Avg
62.5
25
Quality of Victory
57
70
Momentum Score
98
Page
Patterson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
2.5
Style: Pressure
9.1
9.7
Style: Volume
1.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
0
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Page
Patterson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Page
Patterson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Page
Patterson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
98
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Page
Patterson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Page
Patterson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
9.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
PagePatterson
Strike Zones
Page
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPatterson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Page targets the head (67% of attacks) — Patterson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Patterson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Page absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Page
RND
Patterson
0/0R00/0
Page · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Sam PattersonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Patterson · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Trey WatersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Danny BarlowKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Kiefer CrosbieSubmission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07