Michael Page vs Sam Patterson — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

London, United Kingdom

21 Mar 2026

Welterweight

42%

Page

58%

Patterson

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Michael Page

"Venom"

25 – 3

6'3"79" reachSwitch39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 50

Sam Patterson

14 – 3

Pressure Fighter30 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"

CFR 69

★ Official Result

Michael PagewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Sam Patterson · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Patterson

→

Actual result

Page wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Page at 42% vs Patterson at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Patterson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.

Striking split: Patterson throws more volume but Page connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PagePatterson

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Page

Patterson

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

6'3"

79"+

Reach

78"

Age

+30

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Page

Patterson

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.2

69.2

47.0

Performance Avg

60.9

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Page

Patterson

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.7

2.4

59%

Strike Accuracy

43%

1.6

Striking Style Score (/10)

6.3

0 KOs

KO Finishes

2 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

12Distance4

0Clinch2

0Ground0

Page

Patterson

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

4.0

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Page

Patterson

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/28 fights

Chin rating based on

6/17 fights

Page

Patterson

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Page

Patterson

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Page

Patterson

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.3

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.0

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

2.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

9.0

9.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

1.3

Page

Strike Zones

Patterson

Page

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Patterson

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Page targets the head (67% of attacks) — Patterson absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Patterson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Page absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Page

RND

Patterson

0/0R00/0

Page · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0

WinLossTrend

Patterson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0

WinLossTrend

Page · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Sam PattersonRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Jared CannonierRating 5.5

Decision

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Shara MagomedovRating 6

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

L · Dec · R3

Ian Machado GarryRating 7

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

W · Dec · R3

Kevin HollandRating 5.1

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Patterson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Michael PageRating 6.3

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R1

Trey WatersRating 5.6

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09

W · KO · R1

Danny BarlowRating 5.7

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

W · Sub · R1

Kiefer CrosbieRating 5

Submission

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Sub · R1

Yohan LainesseRating 5

Submission

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Michael Page · Sam Patterson

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