UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
62%
Demopoulos
38%
Murata
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Demopoulos
Demopoulos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Murata has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Demopoulos throws more volume but Murata connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Demopoulos
Murata
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"+
Height
5'1"
59"
Reach
+62"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Demopoulos
Murata
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.0
23.3
38.5
Performance Avg
28.3
31
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
27
Demopoulos
Murata
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch0
2Ground16
Demopoulos
Murata
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Demopoulos
Murata
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Demopoulos
Murata
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Demopoulos
Murata
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Demopoulos
Murata
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
DemopoulosMurata
Strike Zones
Demopoulos
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMurata
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Demopoulos targets the head (60% of attacks) — Murata absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Murata targets the head (100% of attacks) — Demopoulos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Demopoulos
RND
Murata
0/0R00/0
Demopoulos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Murata · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Demopoulos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 6.7Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Jaqueline AmorimRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
Murata · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 5.5UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5Decision
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