UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Jackson
51%
Blackshear
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blackshear
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 49% vs Blackshear at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Blackshear throws more volume but Jackson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Jackson
Blackshear
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Jackson
Blackshear
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.4
55.1
51.6
Performance Avg
50.7
40
Quality of Victory
48
48
Momentum Score
56
Jackson
Blackshear
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Jackson
Blackshear
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Blackshear
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
10/25 fights
Jackson
Blackshear
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Jackson
Blackshear
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Blackshear
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
JacksonBlackshear
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBlackshear
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Blackshear targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Blackshear
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Blackshear · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Rani YahyaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Blackshear · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Cody StamannRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07