UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
92%
Susurkaev
8%
Nolan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:01
Baisangur
Baisangur Susurkaev
"The Real Hunter"
12 – 0
6'2"79" reachOrthodox25 yrs3-fight win streakPressure Fighter
CFR 78
Eric
Eric Nolan
"Nightime"
8 – 4
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'2"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Susurkaev

Susurkaev is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 71 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Susurkaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Susurkaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Susurkaev
Nolan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
74"
25+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Susurkaev
Nolan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
77.7
7.0
68.9
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Susurkaev
Nolan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.2
60%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
1
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch1
12Ground0
Susurkaev
Nolan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Susurkaev
Nolan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Susurkaev
Nolan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Susurkaev
Nolan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Susurkaev
Nolan
Striking5.3 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling5.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.7 / 0.0Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Susurkaev
Strike Zones
Nolan
Susurkaev
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Nolan
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Susurkaev targets the head (82% of attacks) — Nolan absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Nolan targets the body (75% of attacks) — Susurkaev absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Susurkaev
RND
Nolan
0/0R00/0

Susurkaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.5W5.5W2025-082025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Susurkaev · Last 3

W · Sub · R3
Djorden SantosRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Eric NolanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

Nolan · Last 2

Upcoming
Farman Hasanov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Baisangur SusurkaevRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

News & Media

Baisangur Susurkaev · Eric Nolan
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