UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2016
Featherweight
VS
39%
Swanson
61%
Choi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 70
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Choi
Choi holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Swanson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Choi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Choi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Choi has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swanson
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
70.4
48.8
Performance Avg
60.7
40
Quality of Victory
57
56
Momentum Score
100
Swanson
Choi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
56%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
13
11
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance10
8Clinch4
6Ground2
Swanson
Choi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Swanson
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
Swanson
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Choi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
SwansonChoi
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedChoi
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (76% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the head (81% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Choi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
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