UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
25%
Manuwa
75%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
17 – 6
6'1"79" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blachowicz

Blachowicz is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Manuwa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Manuwa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blachowicz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Manuwa
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
79"+
Reach
78"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Manuwa
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
46.4
45.2
Performance Avg
53.0
42
Quality of Victory
48
53
Momentum Score
20
Manuwa
Blachowicz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
33
5
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance42
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Manuwa
Blachowicz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Manuwa
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
22/40 fights
Manuwa
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Manuwa
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
58%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Manuwa
Blachowicz
Striking6.0 / 5.4Volume2.3 / 4.5Grappling0.4 / 2.3Wrestling0.3 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure5.0 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Manuwa
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Manuwa
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD7BODY2LEGS42 absorbed
Blachowicz
Attacking
33HEAD7BODY2LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Manuwa targets the head (54% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (79% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Manuwa
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Manuwa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W4.0W5.2W2.1L5.1W2.8L5.8W5.0W2.3L6.1L2.8L1.6L2012-092014-032016-102018-032019-06
WinLossTrend

Blachowicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5W2.8L5.3W4.5W5.0W6.2W5.9W2.5L5.4W7.6L7.4L2014-102017-042019-022021-032025-03
WinLossTrend

Manuwa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

Blachowicz · Last 5

Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

News & Media

Jimi Manuwa · Jan Blachowicz
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