UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
90%
Perez
10%
Bochnovic
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:28
MP
Markus Perez
"Maluko"
12 – 5
6'1"73" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
JB
James Bochnovic
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'4"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

Perez is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.

Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bochnovic has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Perez
Bochnovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+81"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Bochnovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
1.8
42.5
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Perez
Bochnovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
21%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch1
3Ground1
Perez
Bochnovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Bochnovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Perez
Bochnovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Perez
Bochnovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Bochnovic
Striking0.6 / 0.0Volume0.6 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Perez
Strike Zones
Bochnovic
Perez
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Bochnovic
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bochnovic absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bochnovic targets the body (67% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Bochnovic
0/0R00/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.3L5.0W5.5L6.7W5.5L3.4L5.5L2017-122018-082019-112021-01
WinLossTrend

Bochnovic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.3
0103.0L1.5L2017-072018-05
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08

Bochnovic · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Markus PerezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · KO · R2
Trevin GilesRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07

News & Media

Markus Perez · James Bochnovic
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