UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Flyweight
VS
89%
McCall
11%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McCall
McCall is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McCall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but McCall connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McCall
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
64"
Reach
+67"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCall
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.9
1.5
31.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
McCall
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
6
Body
2
11
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground0
McCall
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McCall
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/43 fights
McCall
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
McCall
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCall
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McCallSantos
Strike Zones
McCall
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedSantos
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCall targets the legs (41% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (73% of attacks) — McCall absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCall
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
McCall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
McCall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Iliarde SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
Santos · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Chris CariasoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian McCallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05