METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 2
Las Vegas, USA
3 Oct 2005
Middleweight
VS
53%
Fitch
47%
Larson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jon FitchwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brock Larson · UFC Fight Night 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
→
Actual result
Fitch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fitch at 53% vs Larson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Larson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FitchLarson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fitch
Larson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
71"
48+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fitch
Larson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
18.8
52.4
Performance Avg
46.6
32
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
66
Fitch
Larson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.2
7.4
Style: Volume
3.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch2
6Ground0
Fitch
Larson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Larson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
6/52 fights
Fitch
Larson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Fitch
Larson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Larson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
FitchLarson
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLarson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (90% of attacks) — Larson absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Larson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Larson
0/0R00/0
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Larson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Brian FosterKO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Mike PyleSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Jesse SandersSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraDecision
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