UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Houston, USA
8 Oct 2011
Middleweight
VS
67%
Maia
33%
Santiago
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
JS
Jorge Santiago
"The Sandman"
25 – 12
Knockout Artist5-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Santiago has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santiago has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Santiago throws more volume but Maia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santiago has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Santiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Santiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
16.3
50.8
Performance Avg
42.7
40
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
39
Maia
Santiago
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
0
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
2Clinch1
6Ground0
Maia
Santiago
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Santiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
30
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
6/37 fights
Maia
Santiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Maia
Santiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Santiago
Striking1.8 / 10.0Volume5.0 / 0.3Grappling5.1 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Maia
Strike Zones
Santiago
Maia
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Santiago
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Santiago absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santiago targets the head (60% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Santiago
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Santiago · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W2.8L4.0L2.8L5.5L6.6L2006-062006-082006-122011-052011-102013-02
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Santiago · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · KO · R3
Alan BelcherRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R2
Chris LebenRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08

News & Media

Demian Maia · Jorge Santiago
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