METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Houston, USA
8 Oct 2011
Middleweight
VS
67%
Maia
33%
Santiago
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Santiago · UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Santiago has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santiago has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Santiago throws more volume but Maia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santiago has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaSantiago
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Santiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Santiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
16.3
50.8
Performance Avg
42.7
40
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
39
Maia
Santiago
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
0
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
2Clinch1
6Ground0
Maia
Santiago
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Santiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
30
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
6/37 fights
Maia
Santiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Maia
Santiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Santiago
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
MaiaSantiago
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSantiago
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Santiago absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santiago targets the head (60% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Santiago
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Santiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Santiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · KO · R3
Alan BelcherRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R2
Chris LebenRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08