UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Andrade
7%
Pirrello
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
Andrade is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Pirrello connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pirrello has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Andrade
Pirrello
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
65"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Pirrello
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
2.9
42.2
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Andrade
Pirrello
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
64%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance4
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Andrade
Pirrello
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Pirrello
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Andrade
Pirrello
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Andrade
Pirrello
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Pirrello
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndradePirrello
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPirrello
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pirrello absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Pirrello targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Pirrello
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pirrello · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Pirrello · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01