METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Andrade
7%
Pirrello
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:04
★ Official Result
Douglas Silva de AndradewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:04
def. Gaetano Pirrello · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Andrade is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pirrello has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradePirrello
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Pirrello
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Pirrello
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
2.9
42.2
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Andrade
Pirrello
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance4
1Clinch1
3Ground0
Andrade
Pirrello
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Pirrello
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Andrade
Pirrello
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Andrade
Pirrello
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Pirrello
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndradePirrello
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPirrello
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pirrello absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Pirrello targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Pirrello
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovSubmission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Pirrello · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Douglas Silva de AndradeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Ricky SimonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01