UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Rodriguez
50%
Jandiroba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Virna
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
23 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 50% vs Jandiroba at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
64"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
49.0
41.7
Performance Avg
48.7
34
Quality of Victory
35
83
Momentum Score
45
Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
10
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
1Clinch2
11Ground3
Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Jandiroba
Striking3.9 / 1.4Volume6.8 / 5.8Grappling1.7 / 4.0Wrestling1.2 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure3.6 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Jandiroba
Rodriguez
Attacking
19HEAD2BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Jandiroba
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD2BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (90% of attacks) — Jandiroba absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Jandiroba targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Jandiroba
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Jandiroba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8L5.2W5.0W6.7L4.2W5.6L4.6W5.2W5.0W6.2W5.5W6.7L5.2W2019-042021-062024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Jandiroba · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Virna Jandiroba
← Back to fights