UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Lightweight
VS
56%
Tsarukyan
44%
Hooker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tsarukyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Tsarukyan at 56% vs Hooker at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Hooker throws more volume but Tsarukyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hooker has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
29+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.5
52.3
58.4
Performance Avg
50.3
42
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
78
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
1
1
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tsarukyan
Hooker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
TsarukyanHooker
Strike Zones
Tsarukyan
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHooker
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (91% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Hooker targets the body (80% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tsarukyan
RND
Hooker
0/0R00/0
Tsarukyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Hooker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Tsarukyan · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Dan HookerRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · KO · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Hooker · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

