UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
58%
Kattar
42%
Burgos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kattar
This is a genuine toss-up — Kattar at 58% vs Burgos at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burgos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kattar's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burgos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kattar
Burgos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kattar
Burgos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
31.9
44.4
Performance Avg
50.0
43
Quality of Victory
35
33
Momentum Score
100
Kattar
Burgos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Kattar
Burgos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kattar
Burgos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Kattar
Burgos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Kattar
Burgos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kattar
Burgos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
KattarBurgos
Strike Zones
Kattar
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBurgos
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kattar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burgos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kattar
RND
Burgos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kattar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Burgos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11