METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
58%
Kattar
42%
Burgos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:32
★ Official Result
Calvin KattarwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:32
def. Shane Burgos · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kattar
→
Actual result
Kattar wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kattar at 58% vs Burgos at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kattar's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burgos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KattarBurgos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kattar
Burgos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kattar
Burgos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
31.9
44.4
Performance Avg
50.0
43
Quality of Victory
35
33
Momentum Score
100
Kattar
Burgos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
4.8
4.4
Style: Volume
6.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Kattar
Burgos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kattar
Burgos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Kattar
Burgos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Kattar
Burgos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kattar
Burgos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
KattarBurgos
Strike Zones
Kattar
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBurgos
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kattar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burgos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kattar
RND
Burgos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Arnold AllenKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
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Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
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L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R3
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