UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Welterweight
VS
58%
Semelsberger
42%
Parsons
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Matthew
Matthew Semelsberger
"Semi The Jedi"
11 – 8
6'1"75" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Preston
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Semelsberger

This is a genuine toss-up — Semelsberger at 58% vs Parsons at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Semelsberger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Parsons has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Semelsberger's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Parsons has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Semelsberger
Parsons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
71"
33
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Semelsberger
Parsons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
32.2
41.6
Performance Avg
28.3
39
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
50
Semelsberger
Parsons
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Semelsberger
Parsons
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Semelsberger
Parsons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Semelsberger
Parsons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Semelsberger
Parsons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Semelsberger
Parsons
Striking4.9 / 0.7Volume5.7 / 8.7Grappling1.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Semelsberger
Strike Zones
Parsons
Semelsberger
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Parsons
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Semelsberger targets the head (88% of attacks) — Parsons absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Parsons targets the head (100% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Semelsberger
RND
Parsons
0/0R00/0

Semelsberger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.0W6.9L5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W6.9L5.8L5.5L2.7L2020-082021-092022-122024-012024-11
WinLossTrend

Parsons · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.4L5.1W5.7L5.0W6.2L3.8L2021-072022-042023-032024-012024-072025-01
WinLossTrend

Semelsberger · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R3
Uros MedicRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

Parsons · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jacobe SmithRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

News & Media

Matthew Semelsberger · Preston Parsons
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