METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Welterweight
VS
61%
Semelsberger
39%
Parsons
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Preston ParsonswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matthew Semelsberger · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Semelsberger
→
Actual result
Parsons wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Semelsberger holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Parsons has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Semelsberger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Semelsberger's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parsons has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SemelsbergerParsons
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Semelsberger
Parsons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
71"
33
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Semelsberger
Parsons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
29.0
41.6
Performance Avg
28.3
39
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
50
Semelsberger
Parsons
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
1.0
5.7
Style: Volume
8.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Semelsberger
Parsons
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Semelsberger
Parsons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Semelsberger
Parsons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Semelsberger
Parsons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Semelsberger
Parsons
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
SemelsbergerParsons
Strike Zones
Semelsberger
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedParsons
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Semelsberger targets the head (88% of attacks) — Parsons absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Parsons targets the head (100% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Semelsberger
RND
Parsons
0/0R00/0
Semelsberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R3
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Parsons · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jacobe SmithKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Evan ElderDecision
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