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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Rothwell
41%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
BR
Ben Rothwell
3914
6'4"78" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 27
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
219
Striker4-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Junior Dos SantoswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Ben Rothwell · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rothwell
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rothwell at 59% vs Santos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RothwellSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rothwell
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"+
Reach
77"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rothwell
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
18.7
49.7
Performance Avg
57.8
48
Quality of Victory
53
45
Momentum Score
59
Rothwell
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
6.6
2.8
Style: Volume
4.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
15
1
Body
18
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance33
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rothwell
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Rothwell
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Rothwell
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rothwell
Santos
Striking5.5 / 8.0Volume2.8 / 4.0Grappling3.2 / 0.8Wrestling2.2 / 0.6Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Rothwell
Strike Zones
Santos
Rothwell
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD18BODY0LEGS33 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
15HEAD18BODY0LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (82% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the body (55% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rothwell
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Rothwell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris Barnett
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin Tybura
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint Preux
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan Struve
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl Gane
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis Blaydes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis Ngannou
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

News & Media

Ben Rothwell · Junior Dos Santos
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