METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Rothwell
41%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Junior Dos SantoswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Ben Rothwell · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rothwell
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rothwell at 59% vs Santos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RothwellSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rothwell
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"+
Reach
77"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rothwell
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
18.7
49.7
Performance Avg
57.8
48
Quality of Victory
53
45
Momentum Score
59
Rothwell
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
15
1
Body
18
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance33
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rothwell
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Rothwell
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Rothwell
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rothwell
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
RothwellSantos
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedSantos
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (82% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the body (55% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rothwell
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Rothwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03