UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
44%
Vieira
56%
Cavalcanti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cavalcanti
This is a genuine toss-up — Vieira at 44% vs Cavalcanti at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cavalcanti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
53.9
43.7
Performance Avg
48.3
28
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
85
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
0
Body
12
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
85
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Cavalcanti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.7
VieiraCavalcanti
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedCavalcanti
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cavalcanti absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cavalcanti targets the body (43% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Cavalcanti
0/0R00/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Cavalcanti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 5.4Decision
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