METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Dillashaw
33%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ DillashawwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Walel Watson · UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Dillashaw wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dillashaw holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Watson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawWatson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+75"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
18.3
62.3
Performance Avg
46.0
56
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
36
Dillashaw
Watson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.8
4.5
Style: Volume
0.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
2
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
10Ground3
Dillashaw
Watson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/24 fights
Dillashaw
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Dillashaw
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Watson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
DillashawWatson
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWatson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (69% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingKO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Watson · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonSubmission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinDecision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Joseph SandovalKO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10