UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Dillashaw
33%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TD
TJ Dillashaw
18 – 5
5'6"67" reachOrthodox40 yrsStriker
CFR 37
WW
Walel Watson
"The Gazelle"
14 – 10
Knockout Artist3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dillashaw

Dillashaw holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Watson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dillashaw
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+75"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
18.3
62.3
Performance Avg
46.0
56
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
36
Dillashaw
Watson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
33%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
2
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
10Ground3
Dillashaw
Watson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dillashaw
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/24 fights
Dillashaw
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Dillashaw
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dillashaw
Watson
Striking6.8 / 10.0Volume4.5 / 0.5Grappling1.5 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Dillashaw
Strike Zones
Watson
Dillashaw
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Watson
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (69% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dillashaw
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0

Dillashaw · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2W6.1W3.0L6.0W3.1L2011-122013-102016-012019-012022-10
WinLossTrend

Watson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.5L5.6L1.5L2011-102011-122012-022012-09
WinLossTrend

Dillashaw · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11

Watson · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Joseph SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

TJ Dillashaw · Walel Watson
← Back to fights