UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Talbott
6%
Ghemmouri
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Talbott
Talbott is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 62 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Talbott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Talbott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ghemmouri has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
27+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
4.0
58.5
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
86
Momentum Score
0
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.3
63%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Talbott
Ghemmouri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TalbottGhemmouri
Strike Zones
Talbott
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGhemmouri
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Talbott targets the head (92% of attacks) — Ghemmouri absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Ghemmouri targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Talbott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Talbott
RND
Ghemmouri
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Talbott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Ghemmouri · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Talbott · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 6Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Yanis GhemmouriRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Cameron SaaimanRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Ghemmouri · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Payton TalbottRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R3
William GomisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09