METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 59: Reality Check
Anaheim, USA
15 Apr 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Ortiz
47%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tito OrtizwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Forrest Griffin · UFC 59: Reality Check
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortiz
→
Actual result
Ortiz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 53% vs Griffin at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OrtizGriffin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortiz
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
51
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
18.2
57.3
Performance Avg
52.0
57
Quality of Victory
42
85
Momentum Score
82
Ortiz
Griffin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
23
0
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance27
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ortiz
Griffin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Ortiz
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
82
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Ortiz
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
30%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
OrtizGriffin
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (85% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Griffin · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08