UFC 56: Full Force
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2005
Middleweight
VS
53%
Horn
47%
Prangley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Horn
This is a genuine toss-up — Horn at 53% vs Prangley at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Horn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Horn throws more volume but Prangley connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Horn's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Horn
Prangley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
50+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horn
Prangley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
16.8
48.1
Performance Avg
42.3
49
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
49
Horn
Prangley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
1
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch2
1Ground2
Horn
Prangley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horn
Prangley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/113 fights
Chin rating based on
4/45 fights
Horn
Prangley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Horn
Prangley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horn
Prangley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
HornPrangley
Strike Zones
Horn
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPrangley
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horn targets the head (57% of attacks) — Prangley absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Prangley targets the head (57% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horn
RND
Prangley
0/0R00/0
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Prangley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
Prangley · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Chael SonnenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy HornRating 5.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
W · Dec · R3
Travis LutterRating 4.5Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Curtis StoutRating 5.2Submission
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06