UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Luciano
44%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SL
Stephanie Luciano
"Rondinha"
7 – 2
5'6"65" reachOrthodox26 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Sam
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
11 – 7
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Luciano

This is a genuine toss-up — Luciano at 56% vs Hughes at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Luciano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Luciano
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"+
Reach
64"
26+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luciano
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.7
49.8
55.9
Performance Avg
40.0
49
Quality of Victory
33
79
Momentum Score
76
Luciano
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
31%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
14
3
Body
8
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
22Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Luciano
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luciano
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Luciano
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
76
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luciano
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Luciano
Hughes
Striking1.3 / 2.7Volume5.3 / 6.3Grappling5.2 / 2.9Wrestling3.6 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 1.7Pressure5.5 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Luciano
Strike Zones
Hughes
Luciano
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD8BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Hughes
Attacking
14HEAD8BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Luciano targets the head (68% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Luciano absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Luciano
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0

Luciano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.7W6.2L5.5W2024-082025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.7L6.4L5.5L4.5W5.5W6.3L6.3W5.8L5.2W5.9W5.8W6.3L2020-122022-042023-042025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Luciano · Last 3

W · Sub · R3
Ravena OliveiraRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Hughes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Shauna BannonRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Yazmin JaureguiRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Stephanie Luciano · Sam Hughes
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