METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
58%
Luciano
42%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sam HugheswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Stephanie Luciano · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luciano
→
Actual result
Hughes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Luciano at 58% vs Hughes at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luciano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LucianoHughes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luciano
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"+
Reach
64"
26+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luciano
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.6
50.3
59.8
Performance Avg
40.7
50
Quality of Victory
35
96
Momentum Score
76
Luciano
Hughes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
3.8
4.2
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
14
3
Body
8
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
22Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Luciano
Hughes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luciano
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Luciano
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
76
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luciano
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luciano
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
LucianoHughes
Strike Zones
Luciano
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedHughes
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luciano targets the head (68% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Luciano absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luciano
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
Luciano · Last 4
W · Sub · R1
Marina SpasicSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R3
Ravena OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Sam HughesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Hughes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Shauna BannonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Yazmin JaureguiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02