UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Knight
45%
Camur
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WK
William Knight
"Knightmare"
11 – 5
5'10"73" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
AC
Aleksa Camur
6 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Knight

This is a genuine toss-up — Knight at 55% vs Camur at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Knight has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Camur has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Knight
Camur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Knight
Camur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
22.0
39.1
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
10
Momentum Score
28
Knight
Camur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
58%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
1
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
4Clinch3
6Ground0
Knight
Camur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Knight
Camur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Knight
Camur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
28
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Knight
Camur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Knight
Camur
Striking4.2 / 0.5Volume6.2 / 8.5Grappling1.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Knight
Strike Zones
Camur
Knight
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Camur
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Knight targets the head (77% of attacks) — Camur absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Camur targets the head (71% of attacks) — Knight absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Knight
RND
Camur
0/0R00/0

Knight · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W6.1L5.0W5.4W5.5L4.0L5.9L2020-092021-082022-022023-02
WinLossTrend

Camur · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L5.5L6.1L2020-012020-092021-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Knight · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Devin ClarkRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Maxim GrishinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Fabio CherantRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08

Camur · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Justin LedetRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

News & Media

William Knight · Aleksa Camur
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