UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Middleweight
VS
44%
Naurdiev
56%
Park
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Park
This is a genuine toss-up — Naurdiev at 44% vs Park at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Park throws more volume but Naurdiev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Park has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Naurdiev
Park
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
29+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Naurdiev
Park
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
57.0
43.1
Performance Avg
47.9
34
Quality of Victory
34
45
Momentum Score
100
Naurdiev
Park
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
1Clinch2
0Ground3
Naurdiev
Park
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Naurdiev
Park
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Naurdiev
Park
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Naurdiev
Park
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naurdiev
Park
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
NaurdievPark
Strike Zones
Naurdiev
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedPark
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naurdiev targets the head (60% of attacks) — Park absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Park targets the head (70% of attacks) — Naurdiev absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naurdiev
RND
Park
0/0R00/0
Naurdiev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Park · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Naurdiev · Last 5
Upcoming
Marvin VettoriUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Ryan LoderRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
Park · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovRating 7.2Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Sub · R2
Albert DuraevRating 5.2Submission
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