UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Welterweight
VS
65%
Maia
35%
Martin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Martin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Martin throws more volume but Maia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maia
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
48
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
17.5
50.8
Performance Avg
45.3
40
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Maia
Martin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
7
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Maia
Martin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Maia
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Maia
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MaiaMartin
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMartin
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12