UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Shenzhen, China
31 Aug 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
96%
Jung
4%
Ibragimov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jung
Jung is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jung has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Striking split: Jung throws more volume but Ibragimov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jung's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ibragimov has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jung
Ibragimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jung
Ibragimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
1.7
48.5
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Jung
Ibragimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jung
Ibragimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jung
Ibragimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Jung
Ibragimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Jung
Ibragimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jung
Ibragimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JungIbragimov
Strike Zones
Jung
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedIbragimov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jung targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ibragimov absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ibragimov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jung
RND
Ibragimov
0/0R00/0
Jung · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Ibragimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jung · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
Ibragimov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Danilo MarquesRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Sub · R3
Da Woon JungRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08