UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
67%
Smith
33%
Ma
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:53
DS
Devonte Smith
"King Kage"
11 – 4
5'9"76" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 31
DH
Dong Hyun Ma
"Maestro"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

Smith holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Ma has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ma has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Smith
Ma
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
76"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Ma
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
15.5
49.5
Performance Avg
37.0
49
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
78
Smith
Ma
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
35%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
1
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Smith
Ma
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Ma
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Smith
Ma
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Ma
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Ma
Striking7.7 / 4.1Volume1.0 / 6.1Grappling0.0 / 1.6Wrestling0.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Smith
Strike Zones
Ma
Smith
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Ma
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (74% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Ma targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Ma
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W5.0W1.5L4.2W2.9L6.7L2018-112019-022019-082021-022021-102022-03
WinLossTrend

Ma · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.0L4.0L4.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.8L5.5L2015-112016-122018-022019-082019-12
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Jamie MullarkeyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
W · R2
Justin JaynesRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Khama WorthyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02

Ma · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

News & Media

Devonte Smith · Dong Hyun Ma
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