UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Sacramento, USA
14 Dec 2013
Flyweight
VS
57%
Jorgensen
43%
Makovsky
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jorgensen
This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 57% vs Makovsky at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jorgensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Jorgensen throws more volume but Makovsky connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
10.7
37.9
Performance Avg
32.1
41
Quality of Victory
25
54
Momentum Score
15
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance9
1Clinch0
2Ground1
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jorgensen
Makovsky
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
JorgensenMakovsky
Strike Zones
Jorgensen
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMakovsky
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (90% of attacks) — Makovsky absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Makovsky targets the head (90% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jorgensen
RND
Makovsky
0/0R00/0
Jorgensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Makovsky · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Makovsky · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 5.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08