METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Bukauskas
49%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
6'3"76" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Michal OleksiejczukwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Modestas Bukauskas · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bukauskas
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 51% vs Oleksiejczuk at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BukauskasOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
52.9
51.0
Performance Avg
54.0
42
Quality of Victory
53
94
Momentum Score
52
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.3
4.8
Style: Volume
2.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
2
Body
13
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance20
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
24
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
52
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
BukauskasOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Bukauskas
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (88% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the body (59% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bukauskas
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Bukauskas · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Oumar SyKO/TKO
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Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abus MagomedovSubmission
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