UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Bukauskas
51%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Modestas
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
6'3"76" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleksiejczuk

This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 49% vs Oleksiejczuk at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
54.6
49.0
Performance Avg
55.3
41
Quality of Victory
53
81
Momentum Score
52
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
2
Body
13
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance20
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Striking5.0 / 9.2Volume5.2 / 2.8Grappling2.2 / 0.5Wrestling1.5 / 0.3Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Bukauskas
Strike Zones
Oleksiejczuk
Bukauskas
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD13BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
9HEAD13BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (88% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the body (59% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bukauskas
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0

Bukauskas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W3.0L6.5L3.7L5.5W4.5W3.9L5.9W5.0W4.8W5.7W5.2L4.5W2020-072023-022025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Bukauskas · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul CraigRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Modestas Bukauskas · Michal Oleksiejczuk
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