METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Bukauskas
51%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michal OleksiejczukwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Modestas Bukauskas · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 49% vs Oleksiejczuk at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BukauskasOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
54.6
49.0
Performance Avg
55.3
41
Quality of Victory
53
81
Momentum Score
52
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
2
Body
13
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance20
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bukauskas
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
BukauskasOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Bukauskas
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (88% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the body (59% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bukauskas
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Bukauskas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bukauskas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
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Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
Abus MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
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W · KO · R1
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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
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