UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Anderson
13%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anderson
Anderson is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anderson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Anderson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anderson
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
79"
Reach
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
2.7
50.1
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
98
Momentum Score
0
Anderson
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
24%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
6Clinch2
3Ground0
Anderson
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Anderson
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Anderson
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anderson
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AndersonJones
Strike Zones
Anderson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJones
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (50% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anderson
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
Jones · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ron StallingsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12