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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Anderson
13%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
145
6'3"79" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JJ
Justin Jones
"Black Dynamite"
92
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Corey AndersonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Jones · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anderson
Actual result
Anderson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Anderson is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anderson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Anderson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AndersonJones
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Anderson
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
79"
Reach
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
2.7
50.1
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
98
Momentum Score
0
Anderson
Jones
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
24%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
6Clinch2
3Ground0
Anderson
Jones
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Anderson
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Anderson
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anderson
Jones
Striking4.3 / 0.0Volume6.9 / 0.0Grappling1.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Anderson
Strike Zones
Jones
Anderson
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Jones
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (50% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anderson
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0

Anderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.1W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.6L4.5W4.9W4.5W5.8W2.1L2014-072015-112017-032018-122020-02
WinLossTrend

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2014-122015-04
WinLossTrend

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

Jones · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Ron StallingsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

News & Media

Corey Anderson · Justin Jones
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